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By Frank Koch (Ed.)

ISBN-10: 1613991541

ISBN-13: 9781613991541

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Sample text

Regard the expected IRR and NPV rules as the two most commonly used investment analysis methods. Adjusting for Risk: Some Shortcomings When NPV and IRR rules, together or separately, make use of a riskadjusted discount rate to account for exploration risk, serious deficiencies exist in the valuation process, which include the following. 1. Inappropriate separation between risk discounting and timevalue discounting. 2. Inconsistencies with respect to risk and valuation for projects having different durations.

Capex Well Capex ESP Opex With ESPs Dry Trees – High Price 0 5 0 Normalized NPV Normalized NPV 5 Fuel Gas 0 No ESPs Incr. Prod. Fuel Gas Facil. Capex Well Capex ESP Opex With ESPs No ESPs Incr. Prod. Fuel Gas Facil. T. Caltex Pacific Indonesia SPE Member Copyright 1994, Society of Petroleum Engineers, Inc. This paper was prepared for presentation at the SPE Asia Pacific Oil & Gas Conference held in Melbourne, Australia, 7-10 November 1994. This paper was selected for presentation by an SPE Program Committee following review of information contained in an abstract submitted by the author(s).

4. 5. 6. SPE 28743 modified to ensure timely delivery of the information necessary to reconcile the uncertainty. The longer steam life coupled with the shorter injection ramp up period was attractive under all simulated operating conditions. Varying pattern configuration with geology is economically attractive ("Listen to the Rocks" vs. "Cookie Cutter"). Additional reservoir characterization is required to clarify the development sequence of future areas. Strategy selection is independent of crude price.

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Decision Analysis in E&P by Frank Koch (Ed.)


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